Facing an over-shove, what’s your call?
Posted on: December 4, 20095 comments so far (is that a lot?)
I wanted to share a hand from my pursuit of my $10,000 challenge recently. As you may or may not know, I’m in the beginning stage of trying to build a bankroll from $0 and a few days ago, I logged onto Betsson to play the weekly freeroll.
In this particular tournament, I was running good for a while, and with about 50 places to the money, I had a pretty good-sized stack, about 17,000 with the blinds at 400-800. Enough to make it into the money for sure and start playing the micro-stakes tables.
A player on my right started loosening up, stealing blinds with big overbets before the flop. Short-stacks were looking him up, calling with big pairs only to get sucked out on. He was showing down hands like Q-10, 9-8 and K-10.
For the third hand in a row he went all-in — this time from the cutoff with more than 20,000. It was a big over-shove and I had a decision to make with A-5off in the big blind.
So what would you do? Call or fold? And tell me your thoughts behind it and what you think he’s holding. If you guess his holding down to the two cards, there’s a prize in it for you.
As for my table image, after playing loose the first few levels, I had tightened up considerably.
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December 4th, 2009 at 6:33 pm
My guess is A-7 off. And, I would have folded. I have played with too many people that look down at K-Q off and think they have a monster, even K-10. I am always skiddish about getting sucked out, and A-5 off just would have caused me some pause. I’d want to be a little stronger. Even when you guess right, the outcome could be a disaster.
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December 4th, 2009 at 9:11 pm
Good guess but incorrect. The contest will stay open for just a short while longer…
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December 4th, 2009 at 9:20 pm
I would fold. And I guess he had K-J.
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December 4th, 2009 at 11:56 pm
Now I was about 90 percent sure I was ahead of the raiser, putting him on a range of hands from K-Q to 10-9 to a small pocket pair, I just had to determine if I wanted to race for my tournament life on just a little bit better odds than a coin flip.
After thinking for a while, I called, confident I was ahead.
He showed Q-J and spiked a jack on the flop, sending me off on my merry way.
Between calling, I had enough time to check the payouts. Just making it into the money would have earned me $1. Winning the thing would have been substantially more. If I doubled up in that spot, I’d have more than enough to bully the short stacks when the blinds went to their next level at 500/1000.
Had I folded and limped into the money, I may have been back at the freerolls in a day when my $1 ran out.
Maybe it wasn’t the right decision because of my bankroll, but it is a play — if I make it over and over again — that will end up being profitable over the long term.
No official winner, but I’ll award the $5 on a major poker site to pokerfriend for their close guess.
Pokerfriend, I’ll be contacting you soon…
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December 5th, 2009 at 1:06 am
Are sure that wasn’t on Fool Tilt? Sounds like a Fool Tilt hand!
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